Clean Cut Kid mentioned earlier this week that the Argus has failed to run anything discussing what the abortion ban could cost South Dakota. Getting a detailed set of numbers isn't easy but here's a starting point to give people an idea what this ban will mean to taxpayers.
Potentially $152 million per year in additional state welfare related costs to raise the new lot of children to age 18. Based on the estimated 800 abortions per year. If all of these children were born into low income homes or given up as wards of the state, each year the state would absorb the bulk of the burden of raising these kids until they are 18. Of course some may be adopted out, others may only be in the system a short time as the parent or parents claw their way out of poverty. More still will most likely be added to the unwanted pregnancy ranks as extremists in the state have been working hard to restrict and ban access to contraception and pushing the removal of sex ed from the schools. If these two factors continue to be part of the equation the 800 number will likely stand or even increase. The estimated cost to raise a child to age 18 is $190,528.
The supreme court fight is a bit harder to put an exact number on. The idea of a million seems very conservative when you look at the legal costs for other smaller lawsuits in general that cost hundreds of thousands of dollars and those are not supreme court fights. The loose estimate is about a 3 year legal fight. There will obviously be multiple lawyers and their staff working on this and a number of state officials. Keep in mind that lawyer fees range anywhere from $50 to $1000 per hour. One would assume that lawyers working on a huge supreme court case are going to be asking for an hourly rate on the high end of the scale.
Just one lawyer working 40 hours a week for three years would cost $3,120,000.00.
This would not include travel, espenses or other costs. The cost would clearly be far more than one lawyer's full time fees. But remember, the state of SD is claiming they have a one million dollar secret donation coming. Even if they ever got it, that would not even pay 1/3 of one lawyers full time dedication.
What about other potential lawsuits?
Could people sue the state? Possibly, if they can find a responsible entity to sue or bring suit on a civil rights issue.
Potential additional legal suits:
Class actions due to limits on contraception
Individual suits on forced pregnancies from rape/incest
Individual suits on lost fertility or other physical damage
Additional suits on the constitutionality of the ban
There is the potential for tons of ongoing legal challenges, even if the supreme court upheld the law. People have been making legal challenges to Roe v. Wade for decades. One would assume there would be legal challenges to the abortion ban for decades also. How that would effect SD taxpayers would depend on if SD is directly named in the suit and how it runs through the court system. Even if it was a federal courts issue on constitutionality one would assume the state would be involved in the defence in some way. Were sure the legal experts can shed some more light on this but it shows the potential for some expensive ongoing mess.
One should also take note of the potential for legal challenges on any other legislation that can be construed as based on religion. Items such as the "abstinence til marriage" laws that were attempted and pushes to have that made the rule in school districts opens up civil right suits on the grounds of religious and sexual orientation discrimination.
Based on the knowns and the reasonably assumed the cost of all of this? Lots.